Post by Sapphire Capital on Sept 27, 2008 0:03:11 GMT 4
An Investigation on the Effect of Real Exchange Rate Movements on OECD Bilateral Exports
Antoine Berthou
Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne - Centre Maison des Sciences Economiques; Paris School of Economics
July 31, 2008
ECB Working Paper No. 920
Abstract:
The reaction of exports to real exchange rate movements can differ according to the nature of the destination country. We derive and estimate a gravity equation for 20 OECD exporting countries and 52 developed and developing importing countries. We test how trade costs dampen the effect of real exchange rate movements on bilateral exports, and show that the elasticity on the real exchange rate is reduced when (i) the destination country has a low quality of institutions; (ii) this country is more distant; and (iii) the efficiency of customs is low in both the importing and exporting countries. These results are highly consistent with the existence of an hysteresis effect of real exchange rate movements on trade, as suggested by Baldwin and Krugman (1989).
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1157776_code485639.pdf?abstractid=1157776&mirid=3
Antoine Berthou
Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne - Centre Maison des Sciences Economiques; Paris School of Economics
July 31, 2008
ECB Working Paper No. 920
Abstract:
The reaction of exports to real exchange rate movements can differ according to the nature of the destination country. We derive and estimate a gravity equation for 20 OECD exporting countries and 52 developed and developing importing countries. We test how trade costs dampen the effect of real exchange rate movements on bilateral exports, and show that the elasticity on the real exchange rate is reduced when (i) the destination country has a low quality of institutions; (ii) this country is more distant; and (iii) the efficiency of customs is low in both the importing and exporting countries. These results are highly consistent with the existence of an hysteresis effect of real exchange rate movements on trade, as suggested by Baldwin and Krugman (1989).
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1157776_code485639.pdf?abstractid=1157776&mirid=3