Post by Sapphire Capital on Feb 16, 2009 21:20:34 GMT 4
The Risk-Return Relationship in Housing Markets: Financial Risk Versus Consumption Insurance
Lu Han
University of Toronto - Joseph L. Rotman School of Management
December 18, 2008
Abstract:
Standard risk-return tradeoff theory cannot explain why housing return varies with risk positively in some markets but negatively in some other markets. This paper addresses this issue by incorporating two unique features of housing into a standard consumption-based asset pricing model: (1) intertemporal hedging incentives and (2) a kinked housing supply function. The model nests two competing effects of price risk on housing return: a financial risk effect associated with owning risky housing asset, and a consumption insurance effect associated with using the current house to hedge against future housing cost risk. The empirical findings confirm several equilibrium predictions implied by the model. In particular, the variation in housing risk-return relationship across markets is driven by both local households' hedging incentives and housing supply constraints.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1325552_code572693.pdf?abstractid=1325552&mirid=2
Lu Han
University of Toronto - Joseph L. Rotman School of Management
December 18, 2008
Abstract:
Standard risk-return tradeoff theory cannot explain why housing return varies with risk positively in some markets but negatively in some other markets. This paper addresses this issue by incorporating two unique features of housing into a standard consumption-based asset pricing model: (1) intertemporal hedging incentives and (2) a kinked housing supply function. The model nests two competing effects of price risk on housing return: a financial risk effect associated with owning risky housing asset, and a consumption insurance effect associated with using the current house to hedge against future housing cost risk. The empirical findings confirm several equilibrium predictions implied by the model. In particular, the variation in housing risk-return relationship across markets is driven by both local households' hedging incentives and housing supply constraints.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1325552_code572693.pdf?abstractid=1325552&mirid=2
